Introduction:
Global Attention Is Being Drawn To The Lok Sabha Elections In India, Which Are One Of The Biggest Democratic Processes In History. The Public’s Perspective, Political Tactics, And Election Results Are Significantly Influenced By Opinion Polls Conducted Before To These Elections. We Explore The Complexities Of Lok Sabha Election Opinion Polls In This In-Depth Research, Looking At Their Significance, Techniques, And Effects On Indian Politics.
Recognizing Opinion Surveys:
Opinion Polls Are Statistical Questionnaires Used To Find Out What The General Population Thinks About A Range Of Social, Political, And Economic Topics. These Polls Attempt To Predict The Probable Vote Trends, Seat Distribution, And General Electoral Dynamics In Relation To The Lok Sabha Elections. They Help Voters, Media Outlets, And Political Parties Gauge The General Consensus And Make Defensible Decisions.
Vote share projections
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[1] |
57,566 |
±3–5% |
46.6 |
39.8 |
13.6 |
6.8 |
| News 18 |
March 2024[2] |
118,616 |
±4% |
48 |
32 |
20 |
16 |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[3] |
41,762[4] |
±5% |
46 |
39 |
15 |
7 |
| Times Now-ETG |
March 2024[5] |
323,357[6] |
±3% |
52 |
42 |
6 |
10 |
| Zee News-Matrize |
February 2024[7] |
167,843 |
±2% |
43.6 |
27.7 |
24.9 |
15.9 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[8] |
149,092[9] |
±3–5% |
45 |
38 |
17 |
8 |
| Times Now-ETG |
February 2024[10] |
156,843[11] |
±2% |
41.8 |
28.6 |
29.6 |
13.2 |
| ABP News-CVoter |
December 2023[12] |
200,000 |
±3–5% |
42 |
38 |
20 |
4 |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[13][14] |
147,231[15] |
±3% |
44 |
39 |
17 |
5 |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[16][17] |
54,250 |
±3% |
43.4 |
39.1 |
17.5 |
4.3 |
| Times Now-ETG |
October 2023[18] |
135,100[19] |
±3% |
42.6 |
40.2 |
17.2 |
2.4 |
| August 2023[20][21] |
110,662[22] |
±3% |
42.6 |
40.2 |
17.2 |
2.4 |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[23] |
160,438 |
±3–5% |
43 |
41 |
16 |
2 |
| Formation of the big-tent INDIA opposition bloc |
| India Today-CVoter |
January 2023[24] |
140,917 |
±3–5% |
43 |
30 |
27 |
13 |
| 2019 election results |
45.3% |
27.5% |
27.2% |
NDA |
Seat projections
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[1] |
57,566 |
±3–5% |
373 |
155 |
15 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
April 2024[25] |
271,292[26] |
±3% |
384 |
118 |
41 |
NDA |
| News18 |
March 2024[27] |
118,616[28] |
±4% |
411 |
105 |
27 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[29] |
41,762 |
±5% |
366 |
156 |
21 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
March 2024[30] |
162,900[31] |
±3% |
378 |
98 |
67 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
March 2024[32] |
323,357 |
±3% |
358–398 |
110–130 |
40–50 |
NDA |
| Zee News-Matrize |
February 2024[7] |
167,843 |
±2% |
377 |
93 |
73 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[33] |
149,092[34] |
±3–5% |
335 |
166 |
42 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
February 2024[35] |
156,843 |
±2% |
366 |
104 |
73 |
NDA |
| ABP-CVoter |
December 2023[12] |
200,000 |
±3–5% |
295–335 |
165–205 |
35–65 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[13][14] |
147,231 |
±3% |
319–339 |
148–168 |
52–61 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[16][17] |
54,250 |
±3% |
315 |
172 |
56 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
October 2023[18] |
135,100 |
±3% |
297–317 |
165–185 |
57–65 |
NDA |
| August 2023[36][21] |
110,662 |
±3% |
296–326 |
160–190 |
56–64 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[23] |
160,438 |
±3–5% |
306 |
193 |
54 |
NDA |
| Formation of the big-tent INDIA opposition bloc |
| India Today-CVoter |
January 2023[37] |
140,917 |
±3–5% |
298 |
153 |
92 |
NDA |
| 2019 election results |
353 |
91 |
99 |
NDA |
Data of States & UTs:
Andaman and Nicobar Islands:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| India TV-CNX |
April 2024[38] |
±3% |
1 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[39] |
±5% |
1 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
Andhra Pradesh:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Andhra Pradesh
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
| YSRCP |
NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
|
|
| TDP+ |
BJP |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[40] |
±5% |
5 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| News 18 |
March 2024[41] |
±3% |
7 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[42] |
±5% |
5 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| TDP+ joins NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[43] |
±3–5% |
8 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
TDP |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[44] |
±3% |
24–25 |
0–1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
YSRCP |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[45] |
±3% |
15 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
YSRCP |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[46] |
±3% |
24–25 |
0–1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
YSRCP |
| August 2023[47] |
±3% |
24–25 |
0–1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
YSRCP |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
| YSRCP |
NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
|
|
| TDP+ |
BJP |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[40] |
±5% |
39.9% |
46.7% |
13.4% |
6.8 |
| News 18 |
March 2024[41] |
±3% |
41% |
50% |
6% |
3% |
9 |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[42] |
±5% |
42% |
45% |
3% |
10% |
3 |
| TDP+ joins NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[43] |
±3–5% |
41% |
45% |
2% |
3% |
9% |
4 |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[44] |
±3% |
50% |
47% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
3 |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[45] |
±3–5% |
46% |
42% |
2% |
2% |
8% |
4 |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[46] |
±3% |
51.1% |
36.4% |
1.3% |
1.1% |
10.1% |
14.7 |
Arunachal Pradesh:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Arunachal Pradesh
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[48] |
±5% |
2 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[49] |
±5% |
2 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[citation needed] |
±3% |
2 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[citation needed] |
±3% |
2 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[citation needed] |
±3% |
2 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023[citation needed] |
±3% |
2 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[50] |
±5% |
63% |
32% |
5% |
31 |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[51] |
±5% |
61% |
32% |
7% |
29 |
Assam:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Assam
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
AIUDF |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[52] |
±5% |
12 |
2 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[53] |
±5% |
12 |
2 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
March 2024[54] |
±3% |
12 |
1 |
1 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[55] |
±3-5% |
12 |
2 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[56] |
±3% |
9-11 |
2-4 |
0-1 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[57] |
±3% |
12 |
1 |
1 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[58] |
±3% |
7-9 |
4-6 |
0-1 |
NDA |
| August 2023 |
±3% |
9-11 |
3-4 |
0-1 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[59] |
±3-5% |
12 |
1 |
1 |
NDA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
AIUDF |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[60] |
±5% |
51.8% |
35.5% |
16.3% |
12.7 |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[61] |
±5% |
45% |
38% |
13% |
7 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[62] |
±3-5% |
46% |
31% |
23% |
15 |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[63] |
±3-5% |
48% |
36% |
16% |
12 |
Bihar:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Bihar
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[64] |
±3-5% |
33 |
7 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[65] |
±5% |
32 |
8 |
0 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[66] |
±3-5% |
32 |
8 |
0 |
NDA |
| JD(U) leaves INDIA and joins NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
December 2023[67] |
±3-5% |
16-18 |
21-23 |
0-2 |
INDIA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[68] |
±3% |
22-24 |
15-17 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[69] |
±3% |
24 |
16 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[70] |
±3% |
18-20 |
20-22 |
0 |
INDIA |
| August 2023[71] |
±3% |
22-24 |
16-18 |
0 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[72] |
±3-5% |
14 |
26 |
0 |
INDIA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[73] |
±3-5% |
50.8% |
39.9% |
9.3% |
10.9 |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[65] |
±5% |
50% |
35% |
15% |
15 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[66] |
±3-5% |
52% |
38% |
10% |
14 |
| JD(U) leaves INDIA and joins NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[74] |
±3-5% |
43% |
47% |
10% |
4 |
Chandigarh:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Chandigarh
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[75] |
±5% |
1 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[76] |
±5% |
1 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023 |
±3% |
1 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023 |
±3% |
1 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023 |
±3% |
1 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023 |
±3% |
1 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[77] |
±5% |
51% |
44% |
5% |
6 |
Chhattisgarh:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Chhattisgarh
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[78] |
±3-5% |
11 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[79] |
±5% |
11 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[80] |
±3-5% |
10 |
1 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
December 2023[81] |
±3-5% |
9-11 |
0-2 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[82] |
±3% |
10-11 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[83] |
±3% |
7 |
4 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[84] |
±3% |
7-9 |
2-4 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023[85] |
±3% |
6-8 |
3-5 |
0 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[86] |
±3-5% |
10 |
1 |
0 |
NDA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[78] |
±3-5% |
54.8% |
40.8% |
4.4% |
14 |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[79] |
±5% |
55% |
41% |
4% |
14 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[87] |
±3-5% |
54% |
38% |
8% |
16 |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[88] |
±3-5% |
51% |
41% |
8% |
10 |
Dadra and Nagar Haveli and Daman and Diu:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Dadra and Nagar Haveli and Daman and Diu
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[89] |
±5% |
2 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023 |
±3% |
2 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023 |
±3% |
2 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023 |
±3% |
1-2 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023 |
±3% |
1-2 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[90] |
±5% |
52% |
19% |
29% |
23 |
Goa:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Goa
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[91] |
±5% |
1 |
1 |
0 |
Tie |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[92] |
±5% |
1 |
1 |
0 |
Tie |
| India TV-CNX |
March 2024[93] |
±3% |
2 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[94] |
±3-5% |
1 |
1 |
0 |
Tie |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[95] |
±3% |
1-2 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[96] |
±3% |
2 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[97] |
±3% |
1-2 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023 |
±3% |
1-2 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[91] |
±5% |
46% |
44.9% |
9.1% |
1.1 |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[92] |
±5% |
45.6% |
48.3% |
6.1% |
2.7 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[98] |
±3-5% |
37% |
55% |
8% |
18 |
Gujarat:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Gujarat
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[99] |
±3-5% |
26 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[100] |
±3-5% |
26 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
March 2024[101] |
±3% |
26 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[102] |
±3-5% |
26 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
December 2023 |
±3-5% |
26 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[103] |
±3% |
26 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[104] |
±3% |
26 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[105] |
±3% |
26 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023[106] |
±3% |
26 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[99] |
±3-5% |
63% |
33.7% |
3.3% |
29.3 |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[100] |
±3-5% |
64% |
35% |
1% |
29 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[107] |
±3-5% |
62% |
26% |
12% |
36 |
Haryana:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Haryana
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[108] |
±5% |
9 |
1 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[109] |
±5% |
8 |
2 |
0 |
NDA |
| JJP leaves the NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[110] |
±3-5% |
8 |
2 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[111] |
±3% |
8-10 |
0-2 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[112] |
±3% |
8 |
2 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[113] |
±3% |
7-9 |
1-3 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023[113] |
±3% |
6-8 |
2-4 |
0 |
NDA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[108] |
±5% |
53% |
38% |
9% |
15 |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[114] |
±5% |
52% |
38% |
10% |
14 |
| JJP leaves NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[115] |
±3-5% |
50% |
38% |
12% |
12 |
Himachal Pradesh:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Himachal Pradesh
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[116] |
±5% |
4 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[117] |
±5% |
4 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[118] |
±3-5% |
4 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[119] |
±3% |
3-4 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[120] |
±3% |
3 |
1 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[121] |
±3% |
3-4 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023[122] |
±3% |
3-4 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[116] |
±5% |
63% |
33.2% |
3.8% |
29.8 |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[117] |
±5% |
65% |
32% |
3% |
33 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[123] |
±3-5% |
60% |
29% |
11% |
31 |
Jammu and Kashmir:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Jammu and Kashmir
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| INDIA |
NDA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[124] |
±3-5% |
3 |
2 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023 |
±3% |
2-3 |
1-3 |
0-1 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[125] |
±5% |
3 |
2 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[126] |
±3-5% |
3 |
2 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023 |
±3% |
2-3 |
1-3 |
0-1 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023 |
±3% |
2 |
2 |
1 |
Tie |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023 |
±3% |
3-4 |
1-2 |
0-1 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| August 2023 |
±3% |
2-3 |
1-3 |
0-1 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[127] |
±3-5% |
47% |
44.9% |
8.1% |
3.1 |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[125] |
±5% |
41.4% |
51.5% |
7.1% |
10.1 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[128] |
±3-5% |
49% |
36% |
15% |
13 |
Jharkhand:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Jharkhand
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[129] |
±5% |
12 |
2 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
March 2024[130] |
±3% |
13 |
1 |
0 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[131] |
±3-5% |
12 |
2 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[132] |
±3% |
11-13 |
1-3 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[133] |
±3% |
13 |
1 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[134] |
±3% |
9-11 |
3-5 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023[135] |
±3% |
10-12 |
2-4 |
0 |
NDA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[129] |
±5% |
52% |
35% |
13% |
17 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[131] |
±3-5% |
56% |
30% |
14% |
26 |
Karnataka:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Karnataka
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[136] |
±3-5% |
23 |
5 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[137] |
±5% |
23 |
5 |
0 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[138] |
±3-5% |
24 |
4 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
December 2023[139] |
±3-5% |
22-24 |
4-6 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[140] |
±3% |
20-22 |
6-8 |
0-1 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[141] |
±3% |
18 |
10 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[142] |
±3% |
18-21 |
7-9 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023[143] |
±3% |
18-20 |
8-10 |
0-1 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[144] |
±3-5% |
23 |
5 |
0 |
NDA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[136] |
±3-5% |
52% |
42% |
6% |
10 |
| Eedina |
March 2024[145] |
±2% |
42.4% |
43.8% |
13.8% |
1.4 |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[137] |
±5% |
53% |
42% |
5% |
11 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[138] |
±3-5% |
53% |
42% |
5% |
11 |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[146] |
±3-5% |
44% |
34% |
22% |
10 |
Kerala:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Kerala
| Polling agency |
Date published[a] |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| INDIA |
NDA |
Others |
|
|
| UDF |
LDF |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[147] |
±3-5% |
20 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| Mathrubhumi News-P-MARQ |
March 2024[148] |
±3% |
14 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| News 18 |
March 2024[149] |
±3% |
14 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[150] |
±5% |
16 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| India TV-CNX |
March 2024[151] |
±3% |
11 |
6 |
3 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[152] |
±3-5% |
20 |
0 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[153] |
±3% |
12-15 |
3-5 |
0-1 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[154] |
±3% |
16 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[155] |
±3% |
18-20 |
0-2 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| August 2023[156] |
±3% |
18-20 |
0-2 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| Polling agency |
Date published[b] |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| INDIA |
NDA |
Others |
|
|
| UDF |
LDF |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[157] |
±3-5% |
43% |
31% |
21% |
5% |
12 |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[150] |
±5% |
44.5% |
31.4% |
19.8% |
4.3% |
13.1 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[158] |
±3-5% |
78% |
17% |
5% |
61 |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[159] |
±3-5% |
81% |
14% |
5% |
67 |
Ladakh:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Ladakh
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[160] |
±5% |
1 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[160] |
±5% |
44% |
41% |
15% |
3 |
Lakshadweep:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Lakshadweep
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[161] |
±5% |
0 |
1 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| India Today-CVoter |
December 2023 |
±3-5% |
0 |
1 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023 |
±3% |
0 |
1 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023 |
±3% |
0 |
1 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023 |
±3% |
0 |
1 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| August 2023 |
±3% |
0 |
1 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[162] |
±5% |
4% |
95% |
1% |
91 |
Madhya Pradesh:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Madhya Pradesh
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[163] |
±3-5% |
28 |
1 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[164] |
±5% |
28 |
1 |
0 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[165] |
±3-5% |
27 |
2 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
December 2023[166] |
±3-5% |
27-29 |
0-2 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[167] |
±3% |
27-29 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[168] |
±3% |
25 |
4 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[169] |
±3% |
25-27 |
2-4 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023[170] |
±3% |
24-26 |
3-5 |
0 |
NDA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[171] |
±3-5% |
53% |
43.3% |
3.7% |
9.7 |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[164] |
±5% |
57.9% |
40.8% |
1.3% |
17.1 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[172] |
±3-5% |
58% |
38% |
4% |
20 |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[173] |
±3-5% |
48% |
41% |
11% |
7 |
Maharashtra:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Maharashtra
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| INDIA |
NDA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[174] |
±3-5% |
18 |
30 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[175] |
±5% |
20 |
28 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
March 2024[176] |
±3% |
13 |
35 |
0 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[177] |
±3-5% |
26 |
22 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| ABP News-CVoter |
December 2023[178] |
±3-5% |
26-28 |
19-21 |
0-2 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[179] |
±3% |
16-20 |
27-31 |
1-2 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[180] |
±3% |
20 |
28 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[181] |
±3% |
16-20 |
26-30 |
1-2 |
NDA |
| August 2023[182] |
±3% |
15-19 |
28-32 |
1-2 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[183] |
±3-5% |
28 |
20 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| INDIA |
NDA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[184] |
±3-5% |
30 |
18 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[175] |
±5% |
42.1% |
42.7% |
15.2% |
0.6 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[185] |
±3-5% |
45% |
40% |
15% |
5 |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[183] |
±3-5% |
45% |
40% |
15% |
5 |
Manipur:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Manipur
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[186] |
±5% |
2 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023 |
±3% |
1-2 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023 |
±3% |
1 |
1 |
0 |
Tie |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023 |
±3% |
1-2 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023 |
±3% |
1-2 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[187] |
±5% |
50% |
34% |
16% |
16 |
Meghalaya:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Meghalaya
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024 |
±3-5% |
1 |
1 |
0 |
Tie |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023 |
±3% |
1-2 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023 |
±3% |
2 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023 |
±3% |
1-2 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023 |
±3% |
1-2 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
Mizoram:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Mizoram
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
| ZPM |
NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[188] |
±5% |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
ZPM |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024 |
±3-5% |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
ZPM |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023 |
±3% |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023 |
±3% |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023 |
±3% |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023 |
±3% |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
Nagaland:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Nagaland
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[189] |
±5% |
1 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023 |
±3% |
1 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023 |
±3% |
1 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023 |
±3% |
1 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023 |
±3% |
1 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
NCT of Delhi:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Delhi
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[190] |
±5% |
7 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[191] |
±3-5% |
7 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[192] |
±3% |
6-7 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[193] |
±3% |
7 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[194] |
±3% |
5-6 |
1-2 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023[195] |
±3% |
5-6 |
1-2 |
0 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[196] |
±3-5% |
7 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[190] |
±5% |
57% |
36% |
7% |
21 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[197] |
±3-5% |
57% |
40% |
3% |
17 |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[198] |
±3-5% |
54% |
42% |
4% |
12 |
Odisha:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Odisha
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| BJD |
NDA |
INDIA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[199] |
±5% |
11 |
10 |
0 |
BJD |
| India TV-CNX |
March 2024[200] |
±3% |
11 |
10 |
0 |
BJD |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[201] |
±3-5% |
11 |
10 |
0 |
BJD |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[202] |
±3% |
13-15 |
5-7 |
0-1 |
BJD |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[203] |
±3% |
13 |
8 |
0 |
BJD |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[204] |
±3% |
13-15 |
5-7 |
0-1 |
BJD |
| August 2023 |
±3% |
12-14 |
6-8 |
0-1 |
BJD |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
| BJD |
NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[199] |
±5% |
40.9% |
40.2% |
13.8% |
5.1% |
0.7 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[201] |
±3-5% |
41% |
40% |
12% |
7% |
1 |
Puducherry:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Puducherry
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[205] |
±5% |
0 |
1 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
Punjab:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Punjab
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
| INDIA |
NDA |
SAD |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[206] |
±5% |
11 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[207] |
±3-5% |
10 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| ABP-CVoter |
December 2023[208] |
±3-5% |
9-11 |
0-2 |
0-2 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[209] |
±3% |
6-10 |
3-5 |
1-2 |
0-1 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[210] |
±3% |
11 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[211] |
±3% |
8-11 |
1-3 |
1-2 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| August 2023[212] |
±3% |
8-12 |
1-2 |
1-2 |
0-1 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
| INDIA |
NDA |
SAD |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[206] |
±5% |
57% |
16% |
17% |
10% |
40 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[207] |
±3-5% |
65% |
17% |
18% |
47 |
Rajasthan:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Rajasthan
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[213] |
±5% |
25 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[214] |
±3-5% |
25 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
December 2023[215] |
±3-5% |
23-25 |
0-2 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[216] |
±3% |
24-25 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[217] |
±3% |
23 |
2 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[218] |
±3% |
21-24 |
1-2 |
0-1 |
NDA |
| August 2023[219] |
±3% |
19-22 |
2-4 |
0-1 |
NDA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[213] |
±5% |
60% |
39% |
1% |
21 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[214] |
±3-5% |
59% |
35% |
6% |
24 |
Sikkim:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Sikkim
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| SDF |
NDA |
INDIA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[220] |
±5% |
0 |
1 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023 |
±3% |
0 |
1 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023 |
±3% |
0 |
1 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023 |
±3% |
0 |
1 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023 |
±3% |
0 |
1 |
0 |
NDA |
Tamil Nadu:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Tamil Nadu
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
| INDIA |
AIADMK |
NDA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[221] |
±3-5% |
39 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[222] |
±3-5% |
39 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[223] |
±3-5% |
39 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[224] |
±3% |
30-36 |
3-6 |
0-1 |
0-2 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[225] |
±3% |
32 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| AIADMK leaves NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[226] |
±3% |
30-34 |
3-7 |
0-1 |
0-1 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| August 2023[227] |
±3% |
30-34 |
3-7 |
0-1 |
0-1 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[228] |
±3-5% |
39 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
| INDIA |
NDA |
AIADMK |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[222] |
±3-5% |
54.7% |
10.9% |
27.9% |
6.8% |
26.9 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[229] |
±3-5% |
47% |
15% |
38% |
9 |
| AIADMK leaves NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[230] |
±3-5% |
53% |
33% |
14% |
20 |
Telangana:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Telangana
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
| BRS |
INDIA |
NDA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[231] |
±5% |
1 |
10 |
5 |
1 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[232] |
±5% |
3 |
10 |
4 |
1 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[233] |
±3-5% |
3 |
10 |
3 |
1 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| ABP-CVoter |
December 2023[234] |
±3-5% |
3-5 |
9-11 |
1-3 |
1-2 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[235] |
±3% |
3-5 |
8-10 |
3-5 |
0-1 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[236] |
±3% |
8 |
2 |
6 |
1 |
BRS |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[237] |
±3% |
9-11 |
3-4 |
2-3 |
0-1 |
BRS |
| August 2023[238] |
±3% |
9-11 |
3-4 |
2-3 |
0-1 |
BRS |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[239] |
±3-5% |
6 |
7 |
4 |
0 |
I.N.D.I.A. |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
| BRS |
INDIA |
NDA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
April 2024[231] |
±5% |
27% |
42% |
26% |
5% |
15 |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[232] |
±5% |
28% |
43% |
25% |
4% |
15 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[233] |
±3-5% |
29% |
41% |
21% |
9% |
12 |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[240] |
±3-5% |
37% |
38% |
23% |
2% |
1 |
Tripura:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Tripura
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[241] |
±5% |
2 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| TMP joins NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023 |
±3% |
2 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023 |
±3% |
2 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023 |
±3% |
2 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023 |
±3% |
1-2 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
Uttar Pradesh:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Uttar Pradesh
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
BSP |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[242] |
±5% |
74 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[243] |
±3-5% |
72 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter |
December 2023[244] |
±3-5% |
73-75 |
4-6 |
0-2 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[245] |
±3% |
70-74 |
4-8 |
0-1 |
1-3 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[246] |
±3% |
73 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[247] |
±3% |
70-74 |
4-8 |
1-3 |
0-1 |
NDA |
| August 2023[248] |
±3% |
69-73 |
5-9 |
0-1 |
1-3 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[249] |
±3-5% |
72 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| ABP News-Matrize |
March 2023[250] |
±3% |
67-73 |
1-2 |
0-4 |
3-6 |
NDA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
BSP |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[251] |
±5% |
51% |
35% |
8% |
6% |
16 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[243] |
±3-5% |
52% |
36% |
12% |
16 |
| India Today-CVoter |
August 2023[252] |
±3-5% |
49% |
38% |
13% |
11 |
Uttarakhand:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in Uttarakhand
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[253] |
±5% |
5 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[254] |
±3-5% |
5 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[255] |
±3% |
4-5 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[256] |
±3% |
5 |
0 |
0 |
NDA |
| Times Now-ETG |
September 2023[257] |
±3% |
4-5 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| August 2023 |
±3% |
4-5 |
0-1 |
0 |
NDA |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
Lead |
| NDA |
INDIA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[253] |
±5% |
63% |
35% |
2% |
28 |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[258] |
±3-5% |
59% |
32% |
9% |
27 |
West Bengal:
Main article:Â 2024 Indian general election in West Bengal
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| AITC |
SDA |
NDA |
Others |
| News18 |
March 2024[259] |
±4% |
17 |
0 |
25 |
0 |
BJP |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[260] |
±5% |
23 |
0 |
19 |
0 |
AITC |
| India TV-CNX |
March 2024[261] |
±3% |
21 |
1 |
20 |
0 |
AITC |
| Zee News-Matrize |
February 2024[262] |
±2% |
24 |
1 |
17 |
0 |
AITC |
| India Today-CVoter |
February 2024[263] |
±3-5% |
22 |
1 |
19 |
0 |
AITC |
| Times Now-ETG |
February 2024[264] |
±2% |
26 |
1 |
15 |
0 |
AITC |
| ABP News-CVoter |
December 2023[265] |
±3-5% |
23-25 |
0-2 |
16-18 |
0 |
AITC |
| Times Now-ETG |
December 2023[266] |
±3% |
20-24 |
2-4 |
18-20 |
0 |
AITC |
| India TV-CNX |
October 2023[267] |
±3% |
30 |
2 |
10 |
0 |
AITC |
| Times Now-ETG |
August 2023[268] |
±3% |
22-24 |
0-3 |
16-18 |
0 |
AITC |
| Polling agency |
Date published |
Margin of Error |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
| AITC |
BJP |
SDA |
Others |
| ABP News-CVoter |
March 2024[269] |
±5% |
42.5% |
40.9% |
17.6% |
AITC |
Preferred candidate for prime minister:
| Polling Agency |
Date published |
|
|
|
| Narendra Modi |
Rahul Gandhi |
Others/None/Can’t say |
| ABP News-CVoter[270] |
April 2024 |
58% |
16% |
26% |
| The Hindu-CSDS-Lokniti[271] |
April 2024 |
48% |
27% |
25% |
| Times Now-ETG[272] |
April 2024 |
64% |
17% |
19% |
| News18[273] |
March 2024 |
69% |
31% |
0% |
| ABP News-CVoter[274] |
March 2024 |
62.7% |
27.5% |
9.8% |
| Times Now-ETG[275] |
February 2024 |
64% |
17% |
19% |
| India Today-CVoter[276] |
February 2024 |
54.9% |
13.8% |
31.3% |
| ABP News-CVoter[277] |
December 2023 |
58.6% |
32% |
9.4% |
| India Today-CVoter[278] |
August 2023 |
52% |
16% |
32% |
| Times Now-ETG[279] |
July 2023 |
64% |
13% |
23% |
| CSDS-Lokniti[280] |
May 2023 |
43.4% |
26.8% |
29.8% |
| TV9 Bharatvarsh-Polstrat[281] |
March 2023 |
58% |
19.9% |
22.1% |
| India Today-CVoter[282] |
January 2023 |
53% |
14% |
33% |
| India Today-CVoter[283] |
August 2022 |
53% |
9% |
38% |
| India TV-Matrize[284] |
July 2022 |
48% |
11% |
41% |
| India Today-CVoter[285] |
January 2022 |
52.5% |
6.8% |
40.7% |
| India Today-Karvy[286] |
August 2021 |
24% |
10% |
66% |
| India Today-Karvy[287] |
January 2021 |
38% |
7% |
55% |
| India Today-Karvy[288] |
August 2020 |
66% |
8% |
26% |
| ABP News-CVoter[289] |
January 2020 |
70% |
25.4% |
4.6% |
| India Today-Karvy[290] |
January 2020 |
53% |
13% |
34% |
Approval rating:
Central government:
| Stronglyapprove |
Approve |
Disapprove |
Stronglydisapprove |
| The Hindu-CSDS-Lokniti[291] |
April 2024 |
59% |
39% |
2% |
23% |
34% |
19% |
20% |
2% |
+20% |
– |
10,019 |
| ABP News-CVoter[274] |
March 2024 |
70.67% |
26.67% |
2.66% |
40.8% |
29.87% |
26.67% |
2.66% |
+44% |
±5% |
41,762 |
| CSDS-Lokniti[292] |
May 2023 |
54.7% |
40.2% |
5.1% |
17.0% |
37.7% |
19.4% |
20.8% |
5.1% |
+14.5% |
– |
7,202 |
Prime Minister’s performance
| Stronglyapprove |
Approve |
Disapprove |
Stronglydisapprove |
| ABP News-CVoter[274] |
March 2024 |
77.11% |
21.47% |
1.42% |
51.41% |
25.7% |
21.47% |
1.42% |
+56% |
±5% |
41,762 |
Techniques:
Opinion Polls Use A Variety Of Methods To Collect Data, Such As Exit Polls, Online Questionnaires, In-Person Interviews, And Telephone Surveys. To Guarantee Representative Samples, Sampling Strategies Like Stratified Sampling, Quota Sampling, And Random Sampling Are Used. Using Statistical Techniques, Pollsters Examine The Gathered Data To Produce Predictions And Insights Into The Voting Patterns Of Their Respondents.
Factors Affecting Survey Outcomes:
Numerous Elements Affect The Precision And Dependability Of Survey Results. These Factors Include The Poll’s Timeliness, Sample Size, Demographic Representation, Question Structure, Respondent Bias, And The Political Atmosphere In Place When The Survey Was Conducted. Pollsters Work Hard To Reduce These Influences In Order To Generate Reliable And Useful Results.
Part In The Election Process:
Surveys Of Public Opinion Are Important Throughout The Electoral Process. They Give Political Parties Insightful Information That Aids In The Creation Of Campaign Plans, Resource Allocation, And Constituency Prioritization. Poll Findings Are Used By Media Outlets To Engage Readers And Viewers, Study Electoral Trends, And Contribute To Public Conversation. Opinion Polls Are Also Used By Voters To Evaluate The Performance Of Political Parties And Politicians, Which Has An Impact On Their Choice Of Candidates.
Remarks And Restrictions:
Opinion Polls Are Useful, But They Also Have Drawbacks And Restrictions. Opponents Contend That A Variety Of Factors, Including Leading Questions, Sampling Problems, Methodological Flaws, And Shifting Voter Preferences, Can Have An Impact On Poll Results. Concerns Exist Over How Surveys Affect Voter Behavior As Well, Particularly With Relation To Bandwagon Effects, Strategic Voting, And Complacency Among Party Leaders’ Followers.
Regulatory Structure:
In Order To Guarantee Impartiality, Openness, And Moral Behavior, Opinion Surveys In India Are Subject To Regulatory Control By The Election Commission Of India (Eci). With The Intention Of Preventing Undue Influence And Upholding The Integrity Of The Electoral Process, The Eci Publishes Guidelines Regulating The Release And Dissemination Of Poll Findings During The Election Period.
Historical Angle:
Since The 1980s, Opinion Polls Have Been A Crucial Component Of India’s Electoral Environment, Becoming More And More Popular As Media Proliferated And Liberalization Took Hold. Their Methods, Sophistication, And Public Perception Have All Changed Over Time, Influencing The Narratives And Results Of Subsequent Lok Sabha Elections.
Influence On Political Manoeuvres:
Political Parties And Politicians Frequently Base Their Strategic Decisions On The Findings Of Opinion Polls. Parties Employ Polling Data To Pinpoint Specific Voter Demographics, Pinpoint Swing Constituencies, And Adjust Their Messaging To Appeal To The General Public’s Attitude. Parties Can Adjust Their Campaign Strategy Dynamically By Reallocating Resources And Adjusting Their Electoral Approach By Closely Monitoring Poll Trends.
Public Conversation And Media Representation:
Media Outlets Are Essential In Distributing Polling Data And Influencing The Conversation In The Public Sphere Around Elections. News Reports, Talk Shows, And Panel Discussions Frequently Highlight Poll Results, Which Affects Public Opinion And Political Narratives. But There Is Appropriate Journalism Is Required In Order To Analyze Data, Set Poll Results In Context, And Promote Thoughtful Discussion.
Voter Behavior And Perception:
Voter Perception And Behavior Can Be Influenced By Opinion Surveys In A Number Of Ways. They Act As A Gauge Of Public Opinion, Confirming Or Refuting Preconceived Notions About Political Parties And Politicians. Through Coalition Formation And Strategic Alliances, Poll Results Have The Potential To Affect Voter Confidence, Sway Undecided Voters, And Even Motivate Supporters Of Lagging Parties.
Poll Prediction Difficulties:
The Intricacy Of Indian Politics Makes Electoral Outcome Prediction An Inherent Challenge, Even With Advancements In Polling Methodology. Poll Projections Can Be Distorted By Variables Like Geographical Differences, Caste Dynamics, Alliance Formations, And Last-Minute Changes, Which Could Produce Surprising Outcomes On Election Day. Pollsters Are Always Improving Their Methods To Increase The Precision Of Their Predictions And Dependability.
Public Confidence And Trust:
Opinion Poll Credibility Depends On Preserving Popular Confidence And Trust. In Addition To Correctly Representing The Margin Of Error In Their Findings, Pollsters Are Required To Uphold Ethical Standards And Be Upfront About Their Methodology. Interacting With Stakeholders, Such As Regulatory Agencies, Political Parties, And Media Outlets, Encourages Accountability And Upholds The Integrity Of The Voting Process.
Summary:
Opinion Polls For The Lok Sabha Election Are Useful Resources For Gauging Public Sentiment, Forecasting Results, And Developing Political Agendas. Poll Findings Are A Significant Source Of Information About The Workings Of Indian Democracy, But It Is Important To Interpret Them Cautiously Because Of Their Inherent Limits And The Changing Character Of Electoral Politics. Opinion Surveys Can Be Beneficial When They Respect Moral Principles, Embrace Methodological Rigor, And Promote Positive Communication Keep Enhancing India’s Democratic Dialogue, Supporting Informed Decision-Making And Participatory Government.
